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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 22.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
53.45% ( -1.15) | 24.4% ( 0.38) | 22.15% ( 0.78) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.07% ( -0.66) | 50.94% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.19% ( -0.59) | 72.81% ( 0.59) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( -0.69) | 19% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.45% ( -1.16) | 50.55% ( 1.17) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% ( 0.39) | 37.71% ( -0.39) |
