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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Austin FC |
| 47.91% | 25.18% | 26.91% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
