MX23RW : Wednesday, June 21 11:16:07
SM
Belgium U21s vs. Netherlands U21s: 4 hrs 43 mins
FC
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
MI
Cincinnati
3 - 0
Montreal
Waterman (2' og.), Acosta (26'), Vazquez (65')
Nwobodo (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

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Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 DC United
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 CF Montreal

Montreal have done well to turn its dismal campaign around however, they have not faced a side as potent as Cincinnati, and we believe they will be knocked back down a peg in this encounter.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawCF Montreal
52.33% (-0.358 -0.36) 24.05% (0.203 0.2) 23.62% (0.145 0.15)
Both teams to score 53.33% (-0.481 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.98% (-0.721 -0.72)48.01% (0.713 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.81% (-0.668 -0.67)70.18% (0.65900000000001 0.66)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (-0.41 -0.41)18.32% (0.401 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59% (-0.694 -0.69)49.4% (0.683 0.68)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.29% (-0.268 -0.27)34.71% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.56% (-0.282 -0.28)71.43% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 52.33%
    CF Montreal 23.62%
    Draw 24.04%
FC CincinnatiDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.33%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 23.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 DC United
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Portland
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 5-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 16 at 3.49am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Orlando City
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-2 Montreal
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 DC United
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 4-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
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Premier League Table

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati17124127161140
2Nashville SCNashville18105328131535
3New England RevolutionNew England189633122933
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1793528171130
5Columbus Crew1884636261028
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta187743529628
7Orlando City177552320326
8DC United196582626023
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC186482533-822
10CF MontrealMontreal177191927-822
11Toronto1831051721-419
12New York City FCNY City184771823-519
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls174761116-519
14Chicago Fire173862227-517
15Inter MiamiInter Miami1750121624-815

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1792634201429
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles168532516929
3Seattle SoundersSeattle188462417728
4San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes187652120127
5Dallas187562119226
6Houston DynamoHouston177372021-124
7Real Salt LakeSalt Lake186572028-823
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver175752721622
9Portland TimbersPortland185672024-421
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas195592127-620
11Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd175571522-720
12Austin FCAustin175481827-919
13Colorado RapidsColorado182791427-1313
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy163491427-1313
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