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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | DC United |
58.86% ( 0.01) | 22.6% ( -0) | 18.54% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50.54% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.93% ( 0.03) | 48.07% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.77% ( 0.03) | 70.24% ( -0.03) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% ( 0.02) | 15.99% ( -0.01) |
