MX23RW : Sunday, May 7 19:29:45
SM
Sunday, May 7
N
Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
FC
Nashville
0 - 1
Cincinnati

Moore (56'), Bunbury (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vazquez (48')
Nwobodo (21'), Pinto (45'), Miazga (72'), Barreal (80')

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Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 1-0 Nashville
Saturday, March 18 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-2 FC Cincinnati

This should be a closely fought clash as both these teams are in good form and are next to each other in the table, but Cincinnati have considerable firepower upfront with Vazquez and Brenner leading the line, and Noonan's side may just edge the contest due to this attacking quality.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawFC Cincinnati
52.02% (0.012 0.01) 23.35% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 24.63% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.76% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.99% (0.116 0.12)44.01% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (0.112 0.11)66.39% (-0.114 -0.11)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (0.046999999999997 0.05)16.94% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.98% (0.082999999999998 0.08)47.02% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33% (0.069000000000003 0.07)31.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (0.082000000000001 0.08)68.08% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 52.02%
    FC Cincinnati 24.63%
    Draw 23.35%
Nashville SCDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.52% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 52.02%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 24.63%

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Form Guide
Last Game: New England 1-0 Nashville
Saturday, March 18 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Montreal
Sunday, March 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 NY City
Saturday, February 25 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-0 Nashville
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Nashville
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Houston
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Cincinnati
Friday, October 21 at 1am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-2 Cincinnati
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in MLS Playoffs
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Major League Soccer Table

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1New England RevolutionNew England11731189924
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati117311512324
3Nashville SCNashville11533146818
4Atlanta UnitedAtlanta115332018218
5New York City FCNY City114341414015
6Columbus Crew104241912714
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia104241513214
8DC United114251515014
9Orlando City104241012-214
10Inter MiamiInter Miami104061011-112
11Toronto112631315-212
12Charlotte FCCharlotte FC113351321-812
13CF MontrealMontreal10406917-812
14Chicago Fire102531316-311
15New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls11164711-49

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1162322121020
2Seattle SoundersSeattle106221771020
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles9531178918
4San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes115331514118
5Dallas114431211116
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver10352149514
7Houston DynamoHouston9423108214
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd103341011-112
9Portland TimbersPortland113351518-312
10Colorado RapidsColorado11263912-312
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake103251017-711
12Austin FCAustin102441016-610
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10136817-96
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas10037315-123
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