We said: New York Red Bulls 1-3 FC Cincinnati
New York have been much better on the road than at home this year, and while experience favours the home side, we expect their top-notch backline will have a hard time dealing with Cincy's dynamic duo, who are in fine form.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
58.12% ( -0.01) | 22.02% | 19.86% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( 0.01) |
| 56.29% ( 0.01) | 43.7% ( -0.01) |
| 33.9% ( 0.01) | 66.09% ( -0.01) |
| 85.25% ( -0) | 14.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.02% ( -0) | 42.98% ( -0) |
| 64.11% ( 0.01) | 35.89% ( -0.02) |
