Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for DC United had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
DC United	Draw	New York Red Bulls
31.48% ( -0.79)	25.9% ( -0.44)	42.62% ( 1.24)

Both teams to score 53.44% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.3% (

1.58)

50.7% (

-1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.4% (

1.38)

72.6% (

-1.37)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.96% (

0.26)

30.04% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.83% (

0.31)

66.17% (

-0.3)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

1.33)

23.62% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29% (

1.88)

57.71% (

-1.87)

Score Analysis

DC United 31.48%

New York Red Bulls 42.61%

Draw 25.9%

DC United	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.24% Total : 31.48%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.9%	0-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.61%