Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
