Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
