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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 45.48% | 25.25% | 29.26% |
| Both teams to score 54.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
