Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Pau had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Pau win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sochaux in this match.
