Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.
