Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Pau had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.45%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
