SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Quevilly | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Sochaux | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Rodez AF | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Pau | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 | Annecy | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 42.11%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Pau had a probability of 28.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Pau |
42.11% ( -0.28) | 28.98% ( 0.08) | 28.91% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 43.42% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.11% ( -0.16) | 62.89% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.62% ( -0.12) | 82.38% ( 0.12) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( -0.24) | 29.54% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.44% ( -0.29) | 65.56% ( 0.29) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.62% ( 0.08) | 38.38% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.86% ( 0.07) | 75.14% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Havre | Draw | Pau |
| 1-0 @ 13.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.46% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 28.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Metz | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 51 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Sochaux | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 49 |
| 5 | Bastia | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 48 |
| 6 | Caen | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Grenoble | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 44 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Quevilly | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 | GuingampGuingamp | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | AmiensAmiens | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 37 |
| 12 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 36 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Valenciennes | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 33 |
| 15 | Annecy | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 33 |
| 16 | PauPau | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | Laval | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
| 18 | Nimes | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 29 |
| 19 | Dijon | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 26 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 26 |
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