Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 43.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 27.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
Result | ||
Guingamp | Draw | Valenciennes |
43.54% ( 0.84) | 28.7% ( -0.12) | 27.75% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 43.53% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.56% ( 0.08) | 62.44% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.94% ( 0.06) | 82.06% ( -0.06) |
Guingamp Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.47% ( 0.5) | 28.53% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.69% ( 0.62) | 64.31% ( -0.63) |
Valenciennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.91% ( -0.56) | 39.09% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.19% ( -0.53) | 75.8% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Guingamp | Draw | Valenciennes |
1-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.59% Total : 43.54% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.7% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.5% Total : 27.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Bordeaux | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 53 |
3 | Metz | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Sochaux | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 49 |
5 | Bastia | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 48 |
6 | Caen | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Grenoble | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 44 |
8 | Paris FCParis FC | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 40 |
9 | Quevilly | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 39 |
10 | GuingampGuingamp | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 38 |
11 | AmiensAmiens | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 37 |
12 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 36 |
13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 34 |
14 | Valenciennes | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 33 |
15 | Annecy | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 33 |
16 | PauPau | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 33 |
17 | Laval | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
18 | Nimes | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Dijon | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 26 |
20 | NiortNiort | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 26 |
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