SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annecy win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annecy win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valenciennes | Draw | Annecy |
32.45% ( -0.15) | 28.68% ( 0.02) | 38.87% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.43% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.02% ( -0.08) | 60.98% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.02% ( -0.06) | 80.98% ( 0.06) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.34% ( -0.15) | 34.66% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.61% ( -0.16) | 71.38% ( 0.16) |
| Annecy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( 0.04) | 30.46% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.32% ( 0.04) | 66.67% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valenciennes | Draw | Annecy |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 32.44% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.66% | 0-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Laval | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 33 |
| 2 | Angers | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Grenoble | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
| 5 | PauPau | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
| 6 | GuingampGuingamp | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Ajaccio | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 24 |
| 8 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 24 |
| 9 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 23 |
| 10 | AmiensAmiens | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 23 |
| 11 | Paris FCParis FC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Caen | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Annecy | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 19 |
| 14 | Concarneau | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 19 |
| 15 | Bordeaux | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Bastia | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 17 |
| 17 | Troyes | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
| 18 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 13 |
| 19 | Quevilly | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 12 |
| 20 | Valenciennes | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 11 |
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