Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Caen | Draw | Quevilly |
43.41% ( 0) | 26.62% ( 0.02) | 29.97% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.52% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.85% ( -0.09) | 54.15% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.43% ( -0.08) | 75.57% ( 0.08) |
Caen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% ( -0.04) | 24.76% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.68% ( -0.06) | 59.32% ( 0.06) |
Quevilly Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.14% ( -0.06) | 32.87% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.56% ( -0.07) | 69.44% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Caen | Draw | Quevilly |
1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Angers | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 40 |
2 | Auxerre | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Grenoble | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 35 |
4 | Laval | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 35 |
5 | PauPau | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 31 |
6 | GuingampGuingamp | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
7 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Paris FCParis FC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
9 | Ajaccio | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 30 |
10 | Caen | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 29 |
12 | AmiensAmiens | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Bastia | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
14 | Troyes | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
15 | Bordeaux | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
16 | Concarneau | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 22 |
17 | Annecy | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 19 |
18 | Quevilly | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 17 |
19 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 14 |
20 | Valenciennes | 20 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 11 |
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