SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bastia | Draw | Quevilly |
44.81% ( -0.06) | 26.33% ( 0.01) | 28.85% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.78% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.47% ( -0.02) | 53.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.96% ( -0.02) | 75.04% ( 0.02) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% ( -0.03) | 23.79% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.05% ( -0.05) | 57.95% ( 0.05) |
| Quevilly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( 0.03) | 33.37% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30% ( 0.03) | 70% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bastia | Draw | Quevilly |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angers | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Auxerre | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 |
| 3 | Grenoble | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 35 |
| 4 | Laval | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 35 |
| 5 | PauPau | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 31 |
| 6 | GuingampGuingamp | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 30 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
| 9 | Ajaccio | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Caen | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Bastia | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | Troyes | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 15 | Bordeaux | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Concarneau | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Annecy | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 19 |
| 18 | Quevilly | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 14 |
| 20 | Valenciennes | 20 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 11 |
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