SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Quevilly win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Quevilly |
55.95% ( 0.02) | 23.32% ( -0) | 20.72% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.8% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% ( -0.03) | 48.17% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.67% ( -0.03) | 70.32% ( 0.03) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( -0) | 17.03% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.81% ( -0.01) | 47.18% ( 0) |
| Quevilly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.44% ( -0.05) | 37.56% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.66% ( -0.04) | 74.34% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Quevilly |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.79% 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.99% Total : 55.95% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.32% | 0-1 @ 6.27% 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)0-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 20.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angers | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Auxerre | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 |
| 3 | Grenoble | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 35 |
| 4 | Laval | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 35 |
| 5 | PauPau | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 31 |
| 6 | GuingampGuingamp | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 30 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
| 9 | Ajaccio | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Caen | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Bastia | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | Troyes | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 15 | Bordeaux | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Concarneau | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Annecy | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 19 |
| 18 | Quevilly | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 14 |
| 20 | Valenciennes | 20 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 11 |
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