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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Jan 23, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
N
Metz
0 - 2
Nice

Kana-Biyik (45+1'), Salif Mbengue (55'), Ndiaga Yade (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thuram (58'), Gouiri (86' pen.)
Rosario (64')

We said: Metz 1-3 Nice

Both sides head into Sunday's fixture in high spirits, though the visitors will be the strong favourites to come away with all three points. Metz can take confidence into the game having already beaten Nice this season, but Les Aiglons should have enough quality, particularly in the final third, to secure their fifth league victory in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 51.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawNice
23.15%25.28%51.57%
Both teams to score 49.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61%53.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08%74.92%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.88%38.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.12%74.88%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29%20.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68%53.32%
Score Analysis
    Metz 23.15%
    Nice 51.56%
    Draw 25.27%
MetzDrawNice
1-0 @ 7.61%
2-1 @ 5.78%
2-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.46%
3-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 23.15%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 12.42%
0-2 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-3 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 4.95%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-4 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.95%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 51.56%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Nice844094516
2MonacoMonaco74211810814
3Brest742186214
4Reims7412138513
5Paris Saint-GermainPSG7331146812
6Rennes7250137611
7Lille7322109111
8NantesNantes83231415-111
9StrasbourgStrasbourg8314811-310
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier723212939
11Le HavreLe Havre723210919
12Toulouse72329819
13Marseille7232911-29
14Metz8224714-78
15Lens7214712-57
16Lorient71331015-56
17Clermont7025512-72
18Lyon7025313-102
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