Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.