Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Metz had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
