SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Lyon |
48.1% ( 0.01) | 23.31% ( -0) | 28.59% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.55% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.36% ( 0.01) | 40.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.97% ( 0.01) | 63.02% ( -0.01) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( 0.01) | 17.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.64% ( 0.02) | 47.36% ( -0.01) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( -0) | 26.93% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.74% ( -0) | 62.26% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.1% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.05% Total : 28.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 31 | 44 | 75 |
| 2 | Marseille | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 67 |
| 3 | Lens | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 66 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 46 | 20 | 61 |
| 5 | Lille | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 53 |
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 47 |
| 9 | Clermont | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 | Nice | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 45 |
| 11 | Lorient | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 40 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 33 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 | NantesNantes | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Brest | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 18 | Troyes | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 41 | 69 | -28 | 22 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 33 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 22 |
| 20 | Angers | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 68 | -43 | 14 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
