SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lille |
42.88% ( 3.97) | 25.21% ( -0.37) | 31.91% ( -3.6) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% ( 0.8) | 47.6% ( -0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( 0.73) | 69.8% ( -0.73) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( 2.34) | 22.16% ( -2.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.45% ( 3.4) | 55.55% ( -3.4) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( -1.83) | 28.21% ( 1.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.09% ( -2.37) | 63.9% ( 2.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.46)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.7)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.52)3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.57)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.29)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.7) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.53)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.73)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.4)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.44)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 68 | 29 | 39 | 66 |
| 2 | Lens | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 60 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 57 |
| 5 | Lille | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | Nice | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Lorient | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Clermont | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Brest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 26 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 26 |
| 18 | Troyes | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 29 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 64 | -42 | 11 |
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