With injury concerns in defence and no Paqueta available, an inconsistent Lyon side could be in for a long afternoon at the home of a rejuvenated Lille outfit.
The hosts have also had more time to recover from their European exploits and very rarely fail to produce the goods in front of their own fans, so we have faith in Les Dogues to get over the line with minimal difficulty.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
