With Clermont dealing with some fresh injury concerns and failing to keep the back door shut away from home all season long, the stage is set for Lens to return to winning ways.
Haise's daunting defensive setup can quell a shot-shy Clermont attack on their own turf, and failure to keep Clauss quiet could prove fatal for Les Lanciers as Lens aim to keep their top-five hopes alive.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
