Clermont find themselves at the wrong end of the table after an underwhelming campaign and will head into Wednesday's game in search of a spirit-lifting result. The Lancers will fancy their chances against an equally underperforming Troyes side, but we predict the hosts will make use of their home advantage and force a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 47.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
