SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Lorient |
46.5% ( 0.01) | 24.88% ( -0) | 28.61% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.31% ( -0.01) | 47.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( -0.01) | 69.88% ( 0.01) |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( -0) | 20.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.92% ( -0) | 53.07% ( 0) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( -0.02) | 30.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.27% ( -0.02) | 66.73% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.5% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
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