SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Club America |
28.52% ( 0.34) | 23.56% ( 0.19) | 47.92% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 59.62% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.16% ( -0.63) | 41.84% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.75% ( -0.64) | 64.24% ( 0.64) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( -0.09) | 27.59% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.88% ( -0.11) | 63.12% ( 0.11) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( -0.44) | 17.66% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.71% ( -0.78) | 48.29% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toluca | Draw | Club America |
| 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 28.52% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.81% Total : 47.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Tigres | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | MonterreyMonterrey | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 22 |
| 6 | PumasPumas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 22 |
| 7 | TolucaToluca | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Club Leon | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | PueblaPuebla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
| 10 | Juarez | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 | MazatlanMazatlan | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Atlas | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 | PachucaPachuca | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 16 |
| 16 | QueretaroQueretaro | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 15 |
| 17 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | NecaxaNecaxa | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
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