SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Club America |
22.26% ( -0.1) | 23.53% ( -0.17) | 54.21% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.76% ( 0.59) | 47.24% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.53% ( 0.55) | 69.47% ( -0.54) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% ( 0.23) | 35.53% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.7% ( 0.24) | 72.3% ( -0.23) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.67% ( 0.32) | 17.33% ( -0.31) |
