SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Toluca |
41.61% ( 0) | 24.83% ( 0.05) | 33.55% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.79% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.62% ( -0.24) | 45.38% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.28% ( -0.23) | 67.72% ( 0.23) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( -0.1) | 21.8% ( 0.1) |
