Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
-0.51) 
0.34) 
