SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Herediano win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Herediano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Herediano | Draw | Pachuca |
42.89% ( -0.74) | 24.69% ( 0.02) | 32.43% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.91% ( 0.2) | 45.09% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.56% ( 0.19) | 67.44% ( -0.19) |
| Herediano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( -0.25) | 21.09% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( -0.4) | 53.92% ( 0.4) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( 0.56) | 26.65% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% ( 0.73) | 61.89% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Herediano | Draw | Pachuca |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.89% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.43% |
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