SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queretaro | Draw | Cruz Azul |
30.97% ( -0.4) | 26.08% ( -0.08) | 42.96% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% ( 0.19) | 51.6% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( 0.17) | 73.39% ( -0.17) |
| Queretaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( -0.18) | 30.85% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.88% ( -0.22) | 67.13% ( 0.22) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( 0.33) | 23.85% ( -0.33) |
