Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Azteca
Cruz Azul
1 - 2
Puebla
Ditta (45')
Guerrero (67'), Uriel (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
We said: Cruz Azul 1-1 Puebla
Puebla are not as strong in the attacking third as their previous result might suggest, and we expect to see an even match with two sides who have failed to find much consistency this season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Puebla |
52.05% ( 0.38) | 23.94% ( 0.08) | 24% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( -0.77) |
| 52.82% ( -0.78) | 47.18% ( 0.77) |
| 30.58% ( -0.73) | 69.41% ( 0.72) |
| 81.89% ( -0.16) | 18.11% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.95% ( -0.26) | 49.05% ( 0.25) |
| 66.08% ( -0.82) | 33.91% ( 0.81) |
