SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Necaxa | Draw | Cruz Azul |
28.93% ( -0.23) | 26.82% ( -0.19) | 44.25% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 49.39% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.65% ( 0.61) | 55.35% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.45% ( 0.5) | 76.55% ( -0.5) |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( 0.14) | 34.27% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.03% ( 0.15) | 70.97% ( -0.15) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( 0.49) | 24.87% ( -0.48) |
