SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 66.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | Queretaro |
66.32% ( 0.01) | 19.38% ( 0.02) | 14.3% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.79% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.32% ( -0.13) | 41.67% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.92% ( -0.13) | 64.07% ( 0.13) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.3% ( -0.03) | 11.7% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.2% ( -0.07) | 36.8% ( 0.07) |
| Queretaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.65% ( -0.12) | 41.34% ( 0.12) |
