SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pumas | Draw | Queretaro |
50.79% ( 0.36) | 24.61% ( 0.1) | 24.59% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.52% ( -0.82) | 49.47% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.49% ( -0.75) | 71.51% ( 0.75) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% ( -0.18) | 19.48% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.65% ( -0.29) | 51.34% ( 0.29) |
| Queretaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.34% ( -0.84) | 34.66% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.62% ( -0.91) | 71.38% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pumas | Draw | Queretaro |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.96% Total : 50.79% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 24.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Tigres | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | MonterreyMonterrey | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 22 |
| 6 | PumasPumas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 22 |
| 7 | TolucaToluca | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Club Leon | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | PueblaPuebla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
| 10 | Juarez | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 | MazatlanMazatlan | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Atlas | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 | PachucaPachuca | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 16 |
| 16 | QueretaroQueretaro | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 15 |
| 17 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | NecaxaNecaxa | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
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