SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queretaro in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queretaro | Draw | Pumas |
39.53% ( -0.6) | 25.94% ( 0.93) | 34.53% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( -3.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.9% ( -4.16) | 50.09% ( 4.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.93% ( -3.82) | 72.06% ( 3.82) |
| Queretaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( -2.16) | 24.93% ( 2.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.44% ( -3.1) | 59.56% ( 3.1) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( -2.18) | 27.77% ( 2.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.65% ( -2.88) | 63.35% ( 2.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queretaro | Draw | Pumas |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 1) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.57) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 1.1)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.44)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.93) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.35)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 33 |
| 4 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | Tigres | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 30 |
| 6 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
| 8 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 22 |
| 9 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | Juarez | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
| 14 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 17 |
| 16 | PumasPumas | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Atlas | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 |
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