SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 55.55%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 22.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club America | Draw | Pumas |
55.55% ( -0.21) | 21.74% ( -0.13) | 22.71% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 59.98% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.32% ( 1) | 38.68% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.02% ( 1.05) | 60.98% ( -1.05) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.12% ( 0.27) | 13.87% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.72% ( 0.54) | 41.27% ( -0.54) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( 0.85) | 30.35% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.45% ( 1) | 66.54% ( -1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club America | Draw | Pumas |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 55.55% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 22.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Tigres | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | MonterreyMonterrey | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 22 |
| 6 | PumasPumas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 22 |
| 7 | TolucaToluca | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Club Leon | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | PueblaPuebla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
| 10 | Juarez | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 | MazatlanMazatlan | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Atlas | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 | PachucaPachuca | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 16 |
| 16 | QueretaroQueretaro | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 15 |
| 17 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | NecaxaNecaxa | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
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