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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 29, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
0 - 1
Mazatlan


Castillo (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gularte (45+5' og.)
Meraz (15'), Duarte (71'), Samir (83'), Amarilla (86'), Diaz (89')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Puebla
Saturday, January 25 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-1 Toluca
Saturday, January 25 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mazatlan in this match.

Result
PueblaDrawMazatlan
34.85% (-0.201 -0.2) 26.4% (-0.087 -0.09) 38.75% (0.28599999999999 0.29)
Both teams to score 52.75% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (0.33300000000001 0.33)51.99% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.288 0.29)73.73% (-0.28999999999999 -0.29)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (0.038000000000011 0.04)28.49% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (0.049999999999997 0.05)64.27% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.313 0.31)26.22% (-0.315 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68% (0.418 0.42)61.32% (-0.422 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 34.85%
    Mazatlan 38.75%
    Draw 26.39%
PueblaDrawMazatlan
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.89% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 34.85%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 10% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.69% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.99% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Puebla
Saturday, January 25 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, January 18 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 1-1 Puebla
Monday, January 13 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Puebla
Monday, November 11 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-0 Puebla
Saturday, November 2 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-0 Guadalajara
Saturday, October 26 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-1 Toluca
Saturday, January 25 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Mazatlan
Saturday, January 18 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-1 Juarez
Saturday, January 11 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-1 Pumas
Saturday, November 9 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 0-0 Mazatlan
Wednesday, November 6 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-5 America
Saturday, November 2 at 3am in Liga MX


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