Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
-0.9) 
0.26) 
