SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Monterrey |
42.1% ( -0.8) | 25.62% ( -0.11) | 32.28% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.77% ( 0.79) | 49.23% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% ( 0.7) | 71.29% ( -0.7) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.05) | 23.24% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.85% ( -0.07) | 57.15% ( 0.07) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 1) | 28.77% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.39% ( 1.23) | 64.61% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pachuca | Draw | Monterrey |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.1% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 33 |
| 4 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | Tigres | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 30 |
| 6 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
| 8 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 22 |
| 9 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | Juarez | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
| 14 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 17 |
| 16 | PumasPumas | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Atlas | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 |
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