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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Arsenal has a probability of 31.66% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Arsenal win is 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.41%).
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
43.89% ( -0.33) | 24.45% ( 0.69) | 31.66% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( -2.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.72% ( -3.35) | 44.28% ( 3.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% ( -3.34) | 66.66% ( 3.34) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( -1.51) | 20.3% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.33% ( -2.47) | 52.67% ( 2.47) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.26% ( -1.85) | 26.74% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.99% ( -2.5) | 62.01% ( 2.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.84)2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.33)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.88% Total : 43.89% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.32)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.75)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.66)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 87 | 30 | 57 | 79 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 81 | 39 | 42 | 78 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 27 | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 63 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 66 | 42 | 24 | 59 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 62 | 40 | 22 | 55 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 54 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 54 |
| 9 | Brentford | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Fulham | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 45 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 39 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 37 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 30 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 30 |
| 18 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 30 |
| 19 | Everton | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 29 |
| 20 | Southampton | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 24 |
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