Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Arsenal in this match.
