SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
49.77% ( 0.02) | 25.36% ( -0) | 24.87% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.62% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.76% ( -0.01) | 52.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.06% ( -0.01) | 73.94% ( 0.01) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( 0) | 21.01% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.22% ( 0.01) | 53.78% ( -0.01) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% ( -0.03) | 35.92% ( 0.03) |
