SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Newport County |
46.55% ( -0.06) | 27.38% ( 0.02) | 26.06% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.9% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.11% ( -0.03) | 58.88% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.62% ( -0.02) | 79.38% ( 0.02) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.68% ( -0.04) | 25.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.91% ( -0.06) | 60.09% ( 0.06) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% ( 0.02) | 38.54% ( -0.02) |
