SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Grimsby Town |
45.79% ( 0.22) | 24.18% ( -0.11) | 30.02% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.45% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( 0.43) | 43.81% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.8% ( 0.42) | 66.2% ( -0.42) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% ( 0.26) | 19.29% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.96% ( 0.43) | 51.04% ( -0.43) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( 0.14) | 27.57% ( -0.14) |
