SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Rochdale |
60.9% ( 1.09) | 22.02% ( -0.53) | 17.08% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 49.57% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.07% ( 1.31) | 47.93% ( -1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% ( 1.19) | 70.11% ( -1.19) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( 0.81) | 15.27% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.03% ( 1.5) | 43.97% ( -1.5) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.51% ( 0.1) | 41.5% ( -0.09) |
