SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
59.29% ( 0.05) | 21.56% ( -0.02) | 19.14% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.97% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.3% ( 0.07) | 42.7% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.9% ( 0.07) | 65.1% ( -0.07) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.95% ( 0.04) | 14.04% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.38% ( 0.07) | 41.61% ( -0.07) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.95% ( 0.02) | 36.05% ( -0.02) |
